India to become Third-Largest Economy by 2030, S&P Global Predicts


In a report by S&P Global, India’s pivotal role in shaping the global economy takes center stage in the S&P Global Credit Outlook for 2024. The report highlights India’s robust and rapid economic growth, forecasting it to become the third-largest economy by 2030, outpacing major economies worldwide.

According to the S&P Global Credit Outlook, India is expected to achieve a GDP growth rate of 6.4% by 2024, 6.9% by 2025, and 7.0% by 2026. Despite nuanced shifts in growth forecasts across the globe, India stands out as a beacon of economic potential and growth, driven by strategic initiatives.

India’s strategic emphasis on manufacturing aims to establish it as a global manufacturing hub, offering significant economic opportunities. To support this transition, the nation is focusing on building a robust logistics framework, upskilling the workforce, and promoting increased female participation in the workforce.

India’s demographic dividend, along with its burgeoning digital market, is poised to further boost its startup ecosystem, particularly in financial and consumer technology. Additionally, the automotive sector, backed by infrastructure, investment, and innovation, positions India for substantial growth.

The report also underscores India’s position as a key beneficiary in the transformative global supply chain reconfiguration, thanks to its strong ties with the US and eurozone markets. Alongside Asian counterparts like Vietnam, India is gaining attention in this arena.

Beyond economic dynamics, the report highlights broader challenges such as climate change, technological disruptions, and geopolitical tensions. The year 2024 is expected to witness numerous national elections globally, adding an element of uncertainty.

In this context, India’s strategic decisions and economic resilience make it a linchpin in the evolving global economic landscape. As India navigates these challenges and opportunities, its policies and choices are expected to have far-reaching implications, solidifying its pivotal role in shaping the world economy in the years ahead.

Also Read | India’s Thriving Infrastructure Boosts Economy: Piyush Goyal

The latest projections from the S&P Global Credit Outlook also reveal steady growth forecasts for the US and Eurozone, while notable revisions are seen in major emerging markets, especially China and India. China’s economic pace has moderated, influenced by challenges in the property sector, despite government stimuli.

The recent approval of a substantial sovereign bond issue and adjustments to bond quotas contribute to a real GDP growth forecast of 5.4% for 2023 and 4.6% for 2024. However, persistent issues in the real estate sector pose hurdles, affecting cash flows for developers and local and regional government revenue sources.

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